Philippines Report

Low Pressure Area likely to enter PAR on Sunday, expected to develop into TD ‘Falcon’ by Tuesday

LPA

The low pressure area (LPA) off the Pacific coast will likely intensify into a tropical cyclone by Tuesday and may enhance the southwest monsoon or “habagat” in the coming week.

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) weather specialist Meno Mendoza said the LPA was estimated 1,380 kilometers east of Mindanao on Saturday morning.

Mendoza said the LPA will likely enter the Philippine area of responsibility on Sunday, July 14.

“PAGASA is not discounting the possibility that the LPA will develop into a tropical depression by Tuesday but is less likely to make landfall over any part of the country,” he added.

Should it become a tropical depression inside the country’s area of responsibility, the weather disturbance will be locally called “Falcon.”

As early as Saturday, the trough or extension of the LPA is expected to bring scattered rain showers and thunderstorms over Palawan, Visayas, and Mindanao until Sunday.

Meanwhile, Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon will experience isolated rain showers due to localized thunderstorms.

By Monday, PAGASA said the LPA is expected to move over the Philippine Sea north-northwestward.

It will enhance the habagat, which will bring cloudy skies and scattered rain showers and thunderstorms over Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan, Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Sorsogon, Masbate, and the whole Visayas.

The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.

By Tuesday and Wednesday, PAGASA said the weather disturbance will move towards Taiwan.

It will continue to enhance the habagat, which will bring rains over Aurora, Bataan, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Pampanga, Tarlac, Zambales, Metro Manila, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Palawan, Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Sorsogon, Masbate, and Visayas.

Meanwhile, Northern Luzon will be cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, while Mindanao will have generally fair weather apart from isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.

PAGASA said that by Thursday and Friday, the potential cyclone will be almost over northern Taiwan.

It will, however, continue to enhance the habagat, which will bring rains over Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Metro Manila, Aurora, Bataan, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Pampanga, Tarlac, Zambales, Metro Manila, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon, Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Sorsogon, and Masbate.

Aklan, Antique, Negros Occidental, Capiz, Guimaras, Iloilo, and the rest of Luzon will be cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, while the rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.

With the expected rains over Central Luzon next week, Angat Dam in Bulacan could benefit from the habagat rains.

The dam’s water level continues to decline on Saturday at 159.45 meters, from 159.69 last Friday.

Meanwhile, La Mesa Dam in Quezon City was slightly higher at 72.16 meters on Saturday, up from 72.06 meters last Friday. This is due to the heavy rains and thunderstorms over parts of Metro Manila on Friday afternoon.

However, both major water sources of Metro Manila remain below their normal level at 180 meters for Angat Dam, and 80.15 meters for La Mesa Dam.

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